TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike BO3 match between MOUZ and Natus Vincere at PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets span match winner, map-by-map outcomes, and handicap betting across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a simple binary match-winner definition without addressing forfeits, walkovers, or delays, while Polymarket provides detailed edge-case rules that can result in 50-50 outcomes. This creates potential misalignment on whether certain completion scenarios (e.g., pre-match forfeit) resolve to Yes/No or 50-50.Hero Tip:
Before Feb 20, 2026, confirm with Kalshi support whether a pre-match forfeit or walkover counts as a match win (Yes) or a no-contest. On Polymarket, such scenarios resolve to 50-50. If the match is delayed beyond 7 days without play, Polymarket goes 50-50 but Kalshi's binary logic may still expect Yes/No. Use HLTV as the authoritative source and cross-check both platforms' final resolution against the official result.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Defines match winner, map winners, and handicaps with explicit edge-case handling. Match winner resolves to 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed >7 days, or if a forfeit/walkover occurs before the match starts. If match begins and one team wins via opponent forfeit/disqualification, match winner resolves to the winning team (not 50-50), but handicap and map markets resolve to 50-50. Maps won by forfeit count toward totals if match is completed. Resolution source: HLTV within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.Kalshi:
Binary match-winner market: resolves Yes if either MOUZ or Natus Vincere wins the match originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026. No explicit rules for forfeits, walkovers, delays, or partial completion. No granular map or handicap markets. Resolution source not specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.