TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
polymarket
kalshi

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Volume:
$3,301,386

MOUZ

 - Kalshi

MOUZ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Closed: Feb 20, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MOUZ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$157,545
N/A
N/A
$122,403
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Natus Vincere

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136,364
N/A
N/A
$109,380
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,935,385
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$308,145
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,058
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$582,718
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,705
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$466
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike BO3 match between MOUZ and Natus Vincere at PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets span match winner, map-by-map outcomes, and handicap betting across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a simple binary match-winner definition without addressing forfeits, walkovers, or delays, while Polymarket provides detailed edge-case rules that can result in 50-50 outcomes. This creates potential misalignment on whether certain completion scenarios (e.g., pre-match forfeit) resolve to Yes/No or 50-50.Hero tip: Before Feb 20, 2026, confirm with Kalshi support whether a pre-match forfeit or walkover counts as a match win (Yes) or a no-contest. On Polymarket, such scenarios resolve to 50-50. If the match is delayed beyond 7 days without play, Polymarket goes 50-50 but Kalshi's binary logic may still expect Yes/No. Use HLTV as the authoritative source and cross-check both platforms' final resolution against the official result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Defines match winner, map winners, and handicaps with explicit edge-case handling. Match winner resolves to 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed >7 days, or if a forfeit/walkover occurs before the match starts. If match begins and one team wins via opponent forfeit/disqualification, match winner resolves to the winning team (not 50-50), but handicap and map markets resolve to 50-50. Maps won by forfeit count toward totals if match is completed. Resolution source: HLTV within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.
  • Kalshi: Binary match-winner market: resolves Yes if either MOUZ or Natus Vincere wins the match originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026. No explicit rules for forfeits, walkovers, delays, or partial completion. No granular map or handicap markets. Resolution source not specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.