TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT (BO5) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT (BO5) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs

Volume:
$303,722

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 11:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$168,437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MOUZ NXT

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,526
N/A
N/A
$25,062
Settled
No
kalshi

K27

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,729
N/A
N/A
$33,939
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 4 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,754
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: K27 (-2.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-5 Counter-Strike match between K27 and MOUZ NXT in the European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs, scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. Markets span series outcome, individual map winners, map-level statistics (kills and rounds), and handicap/total maps played thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi provides only a high-level series-winner binary with no edge-case detail or map-level granularity. Polymarket defines 18 interconnected markets with explicit conditional logic, kill/round counting rules, and 50-50 fallbacks for cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, and series clinches. The two platforms address fundamentally different scopes and levels of detail.Hero tip: Use Kalshi as a simple series outcome proxy. For all map-specific, statistical, and handicap markets, follow Polymarket's detailed resolution criteria strictly. Always verify HLTV.org publication within 2 hours of match conclusion. If a match is delayed beyond 7 days or a team clinches before all maps are played, expect 50-50 resolution on unplayed maps. Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers count toward map totals and handicaps only if the match is completed; otherwise, they trigger 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary series-winner market: resolves Yes if either K27 or MOUZ NXT wins the EPL Series 5 match on or around March 11, 2026. No edge-case handling, no map-level detail, no explicit cancellation or delay rules. Scope ambiguity: unclear whether 'European Pro League Series 5' refers to the entire tournament or just this match.
  • Polymarket: 18 granular markets covering series outcome, 5 individual map winners, map-level kill/round parity (Odd/Even for Maps 1–5), series-level totals (O/U 3.5 and O/U 4.5 maps), and three handicap variants (-1.5, -2.5, MOUZ -1.5). Each includes explicit 50-50 fallbacks for cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, series clinches, delays beyond 7 days, and remakes. Primary source: HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus and video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.