TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-5 Counter-Strike match between K27 and MOUZ NXT in the European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs, scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. Markets span series outcome, individual map winners, map-level statistics (kills and rounds), and handicap/total maps played thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi provides only a high-level series-winner binary with no edge-case detail or map-level granularity. Polymarket defines 18 interconnected markets with explicit conditional logic, kill/round counting rules, and 50-50 fallbacks for cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, and series clinches. The two platforms address fundamentally different scopes and levels of detail.Hero Tip:
Use Kalshi as a simple series outcome proxy. For all map-specific, statistical, and handicap markets, follow Polymarket's detailed resolution criteria strictly. Always verify HLTV.org publication within 2 hours of match conclusion. If a match is delayed beyond 7 days or a team clinches before all maps are played, expect 50-50 resolution on unplayed maps. Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers count toward map totals and handicaps only if the match is completed; otherwise, they trigger 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary series-winner market: resolves Yes if either K27 or MOUZ NXT wins the EPL Series 5 match on or around March 11, 2026. No edge-case handling, no map-level detail, no explicit cancellation or delay rules. Scope ambiguity: unclear whether 'European Pro League Series 5' refers to the entire tournament or just this match.Polymarket:
18 granular markets covering series outcome, 5 individual map winners, map-level kill/round parity (Odd/Even for Maps 1–5), series-level totals (O/U 3.5 and O/U 4.5 maps), and three handicap variants (-1.5, -2.5, MOUZ -1.5). Each includes explicit 50-50 fallbacks for cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, series clinches, delays beyond 7 days, and remakes. Primary source: HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus and video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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