TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between InControl and girl kissers in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Group B, initially scheduled for April 27 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "InControl" if InControl win the match against girl kissers. This market will resolve to "girl kissers" if girl kissers win the match against InControl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market is logically incomplete and lacks edge-case specification, while Polymarket provides comprehensive resolution rules. Kalshi's binary structure (Yes if either team wins) creates a tautology that does not function as a true prediction market.Hero Tip:
Use Polymarket markets for precise, trader-friendly resolution. Kalshi's market is ambiguous on forfeits, delays, and cancellations—clarify with the platform before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Match winner resolves to the team that wins the BO3 series. Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers before match start resolve 50-50. Matches delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning resolve 50-50. Incomplete matches with one team winning by opponent forfeiture resolve to the winning team. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'Kalshi:
Market resolves to Yes if girl kissers wins OR if InControl wins. No edge-case rules provided for forfeits, delays, cancellations, or incomplete matches. Logical structure creates a tautology: the market cannot resolve to No if the match is played and completed. Key quote: 'If girl kissers wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If InControl wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
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