TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Gaimin Gladiators and OlyBet SB in the Roman Imperium Cup Group C, scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET. Markets span match winner, map-level kill totals (odd/even), and round totals (odd/even), with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve to Yes) and lacks edge-case handling. Polymarket markets are scoped to Map 1 only and depend on match completion. The two platforms measure fundamentally different events (overall match vs. map-level metrics) with incompatible resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi market—it is logically unresolvable. For Polymarket markets, confirm that Map 1 will actually be played (i.e., the BO1 series is not already decided) before the scheduled date. If Map 1 is not played for any reason, all three Polymarket markets default to 50-50. Use HLTV.org as the authoritative source and monitor for any delays beyond 7 days from March 13, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets: (1) Match winner resolves to Gaimin Gladiators or OlyBet SB if match is completed, or 50-50 if canceled, delayed >7 days, or ends in forfeit/walkover. (2) Map 1 odd/even kills resolves based on combined kill count or 50-50 if map not played. (3) Map 1 odd/even rounds resolves based on combined round count or 50-50 if map not played. Primary source: HLTV.org within 2 hours; fallback to credible consensus. Key quote: 'If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined... this market will resolve to 50-50.'Kalshi:
Single market with contradictory resolution: 'If Gaimin Gladiators wins... then Yes' AND 'If OlyBet SB wins... then Yes.' Both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes simultaneously. No handling of cancellations, delays, forfeits, or walkovers. No resolution source specified. Key quote: 'If Gaimin Gladiators wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If OlyBet SB wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.