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Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Volume:
$49,663

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FOKUS

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
$693
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs FriendlyCampers (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FriendlyCampers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$948
N/A
N/A
$422
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-3 match between FOKUS and FriendlyCampers in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played, and map handicap outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction: both FOKUS and FriendlyCampers winning conditions resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution with explicit edge-case handling.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi match winner market. Use Polymarket's BO3 match winner market as the authoritative source for match outcome. All Polymarket sub-markets (Map 1, Map 2, O/U 2.5, Handicap) are internally consistent and should be settled together based on official HLTV.org results or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match winner market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If FriendlyCampers wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If FOKUS wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: BO3 match winner market provides binary resolution: FOKUS win → 'FOKUS', FriendlyCampers win → 'FriendlyCampers'. Cancellation, no-play, tie, or delay >7 days without play → 50-50. Forfeit/disqualification/walkover before start → 50-50. Mid-match forfeit/disqualification/walkover → resolves to winning team. Source: HLTV.org or credible consensus within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.