TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-3 match between FOKUS and FriendlyCampers in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played, and map handicap outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction: both FOKUS and FriendlyCampers winning conditions resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution with explicit edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi match winner market. Use Polymarket's BO3 match winner market as the authoritative source for match outcome. All Polymarket sub-markets (Map 1, Map 2, O/U 2.5, Handicap) are internally consistent and should be settled together based on official HLTV.org results or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Match winner market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If FriendlyCampers wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If FOKUS wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
BO3 match winner market provides binary resolution: FOKUS win → 'FOKUS', FriendlyCampers win → 'FriendlyCampers'. Cancellation, no-play, tie, or delay >7 days without play → 50-50. Forfeit/disqualification/walkover before start → 50-50. Mid-match forfeit/disqualification/walkover → resolves to winning team. Source: HLTV.org or credible consensus within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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