TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between fnatic and ENCE in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 5, 2026. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played, and map handicaps, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (ENCE win and fnatic win) resolve to the same result (Yes), rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate under a different scope and granularity than Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is logically broken and will create settlement disputes. Focus trading activity on Polymarket's five markets (Match Winner, Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and both Map Handicaps), which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths and explicit edge-case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market states: 'If ENCE wins the match, resolves to Yes' and 'If fnatic wins the match, resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes produce the same resolution. No explicit handling for cancellations, delays, forfeits, or incomplete matches. Market is unresolvable as written.Polymarket:
Five separate markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Match Winner (fnatic vs ENCE), Map 1 Winner (fnatic vs ENCE), Map 2 Winner (fnatic vs ENCE), Games Total O/U 2.5 (Over if 3+ maps, Under if fewer), and two Map Handicaps (ENCE -1.5 / fnatic +1.5, and fnatic -1.5 / ENCE +1.5). All include explicit 50-50 resolution for cancellations beyond 7-day delay, incomplete matches with no winner, forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers. Primary source: HLTV.org with 2-hour credible consensus fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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