TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between EYEBALLERS and UNiTY esports in the Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 12 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "EYEBALLERS" if EYEBALLERS win the match against UNiTY esports. This market will resolve to "UNiTY esports" if UNiTY esports win the match against EYEBALLERS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines a complete match resolution framework with detailed tie/forfeit/cancellation rules and map-level markets, while Kalshi provides only a binary YES outcome for either team winning without specifying how forfeits, ties, cancellations, or map-level events resolve. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction: Kalshi's market can resolve YES for both outcomes simultaneously (if either team wins, YES resolves), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market as written—it contains a logical flaw that makes simultaneous YES resolution possible for mutually exclusive outcomes. Polymarket's market is fully specified and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from the platform on whether the market should resolve NO if the match is canceled, forfeited, or delayed beyond 7 days.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (fully specified): Polymarket defines explicit resolution outcomes for match winner (EYEBALLERS or UNiTY esports), cancellation/tie/7-day delay (50-50), forfeits before start (50-50), and forfeits after start (winning team). Map-level markets (Odd/Even Kills, Odd/Even Rounds) resolve 50-50 if Map 1 is not played. Primary source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'Kalshi:
Outlier (logically incoherent): Kalshi states 'If UNiTY esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If EYEBALLERS wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES. No resolution path is defined for cancellation, tie, forfeit, delay, or disqualification. No primary source is specified. Quote: 'If UNiTY esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If EYEBALLERS wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
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