TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-3 match between ex-RUBY and STATE in the CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage, scheduled for April 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. The group includes markets on match winner, map winners, map-level statistics (kills and rounds), series handicap, and games total, all sourced from HLTV.org as the authoritative resolution source.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on match outcome (either team winning), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets with different settlement criteria: map handicaps, map-specific odd/even metrics, series length, and individual map winners. The platforms are not directly comparable as they settle different questions.Hero Tip:
These are not competing markets on the same event — they are different market types. Kalshi offers a simple binary match outcome. Polymarket offers granular prop bets on specific map results and statistics. Do not expect Kalshi and Polymarket to 'agree' on a single resolution; instead, verify that each Polymarket market resolves independently according to its own criteria (map results from HLTV), and that Kalshi resolves based on overall match winner. Both use HLTV as primary source with a 2-hour fallback window.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market that resolves YES if either ex-RUBY or STATE wins the match. The market does not differentiate between the two teams — it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, provided the match is completed. This is a meta-market on match completion and validity, not on match outcome. Key quote: 'If ex-RUBY wins the CCT Europe Series #20 2026: STATE vs. ex-RUBY CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes. If STATE wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 11 separate markets, each with independent settlement criteria: (1) Map Handicap ex-RUBY (-1.5) resolves to ex-RUBY if ex-RUBY wins 2+ maps; (2) Map Handicap STATE (-1.5) resolves to STATE if STATE wins 2+ maps; (3–5) Map 1, 2, 3 odd/even kills; (6–8) Map 1, 2, 3 odd/even rounds; (9) Games Total O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ maps played; (10) Match Winner resolves to ex-RUBY or STATE based on series outcome; (11) Map 1 and Map 2 individual winners. Each market has independent resolution conditions tied to specific map play and statistics. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to ex-RUBY if ex-RUBY wins 2 or more maps than STATE in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to STATE.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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