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Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Volume:
$54,632

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 6, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

STATE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,784
N/A
N/A
$6,630
Settled
No
kalshi

ex-RUBY

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,108
N/A
N/A
$11,347
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$596
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: STA (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs STATE (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-3 match between ex-RUBY and STATE in the CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage, scheduled for April 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. The group includes markets on match winner, map winners, map-level statistics (kills and rounds), series handicap, and games total, all sourced from HLTV.org as the authoritative resolution source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on match outcome (either team winning), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets with different settlement criteria: map handicaps, map-specific odd/even metrics, series length, and individual map winners. The platforms are not directly comparable as they settle different questions.Hero tip: These are not competing markets on the same event — they are different market types. Kalshi offers a simple binary match outcome. Polymarket offers granular prop bets on specific map results and statistics. Do not expect Kalshi and Polymarket to 'agree' on a single resolution; instead, verify that each Polymarket market resolves independently according to its own criteria (map results from HLTV), and that Kalshi resolves based on overall match winner. Both use HLTV as primary source with a 2-hour fallback window.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market that resolves YES if either ex-RUBY or STATE wins the match. The market does not differentiate between the two teams — it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, provided the match is completed. This is a meta-market on match completion and validity, not on match outcome. Key quote: 'If ex-RUBY wins the CCT Europe Series #20 2026: STATE vs. ex-RUBY CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes. If STATE wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 11 separate markets, each with independent settlement criteria: (1) Map Handicap ex-RUBY (-1.5) resolves to ex-RUBY if ex-RUBY wins 2+ maps; (2) Map Handicap STATE (-1.5) resolves to STATE if STATE wins 2+ maps; (3–5) Map 1, 2, 3 odd/even kills; (6–8) Map 1, 2, 3 odd/even rounds; (9) Games Total O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ maps played; (10) Match Winner resolves to ex-RUBY or STATE based on series outcome; (11) Map 1 and Map 2 individual winners. Each market has independent resolution conditions tied to specific map play and statistics. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to ex-RUBY if ex-RUBY wins 2 or more maps than STATE in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to STATE.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.