TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-three (BO3) Counter-Strike 2 match between eLITenergy and CSDIILIT in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs, originally scheduled for March 30, 2026. The market will settle to Yes if either team wins the match, making it a binary event on match completion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Kalshi's markets (items 1-2) resolve YES if either team wins the tournament, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot coexist. Polymarket's markets (items 3-25) resolve based on the specific BO3 match result and map-level statistics, which is the standard interpretation for a match-level event.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across Kalshi and Polymarket on this event group. Kalshi's YES resolution condition is logically impossible (both teams cannot simultaneously win the tournament), making those markets unresolvable or misstated. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and follow standard CS2 match settlement practices. Treat Kalshi as a data integrity failure and rely exclusively on Polymarket for trading.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES if either CSDIILIT or eLITenergy wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 2026 tournament. This creates a logical impossibility where both markets resolve YES simultaneously, violating the mutual exclusivity required for a binary event. The resolution condition 'If CSDIILIT wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If eLITenergy wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' cannot both be true.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard match settlement: Polymarket resolves all 13 markets based on the specific BO3 match outcome between eLITenergy and CSDIILIT (not the tournament outcome), including match winner, map winners, map-level kill/round statistics, and handicap conditions. Markets reference 'the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 2 match between eLITenergy and CSDIILIT' and resolve based on HLTV.org official match data, with clear tie-breaking and edge-case rules for forfeits, cancellations, and delays.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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