TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike BO3 match between BIG and Team Nemesis in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets span individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), match outcome, games total over/under 2.5, and map handicaps. Resolution depends on official HLTV.org reporting with a 2-hour fallback to credible consensus sources.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi handle forfeit/disqualification/walkover scenarios differently in the match outcome market. Polymarket explicitly resolves to 50-50 for pre-match administrative wins; Kalshi's rules do not address this scenario, creating ambiguity about whether administrative wins count as valid match outcomes.Hero Tip:
Before the match date, confirm with Kalshi whether a pre-match forfeit or disqualification results in a Yes resolution or a no-contest. If Kalshi treats administrative wins as Yes outcomes while Polymarket treats them as 50-50, this creates a direct divergence. Additionally, verify the exact scheduled time (1:30 PM ET per Polymarket vs. 1:00 PM ET noted in one Polymarket handicap description) to ensure both platforms use the same 7-day delay threshold.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Match outcome resolves to the winning team if match begins and one team wins via forfeiture/disqualification. However, if the match ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover before play begins, it resolves 50-50. Explicit two-tier logic: in-match administrative wins count; pre-match administrative wins do not.Kalshi:
Match outcome resolves to Yes if either team wins. No explicit guidance on forfeit, disqualification, or walkover scenarios. Ambiguous whether administrative wins (pre-match or in-match) count as valid match outcomes or trigger a no-contest resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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