TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Atreides and UNiTY esports in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs, scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome, map winners, map-level statistics (rounds and kills), and series length across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology where both possible match outcomes (UNiTY wins OR Atreides wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradicting basic binary market design. Polymarket markets are logically sound and comprehensive.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's main match market. It is logically broken. Use Polymarket's suite of markets (match winner, map winners, map statistics, series length) as the authoritative settlement framework. All Polymarket markets share consistent resolution sources (HLTV.org primary, credible reporting fallback within 2 hours) and detailed edge-case protocols.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Kalshi presents two conditions: (1) 'If UNiTY esports wins... then Yes' and (2) 'If Atreides wins... then Yes'. This creates a logical tautology where the market resolves Yes in all cases, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes. No resolution path exists for a tie or cancellation. Quote: 'If UNiTY esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Atreides wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Polymarket provides 10 distinct, logically coherent markets with outcome-specific resolution (e.g., 'Over' if 3+ maps played, 'Under' if fewer; 'UNiTY esports' if wins 2+ maps vs handicap, 'Atreides' otherwise). All markets include explicit edge-case handling: cancellations resolve 50-50, delays beyond 7 days resolve 50-50, forfeits/walkovers resolve 50-50 (except when match begins and completes with one team winning on opponent forfeiture). Primary source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "UNiTY esports" if UNiTY esports wins 2 or more maps than Atreides in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Atreides".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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