TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between ARCRED and Metizport in the European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ARCRED" if ARCRED win the match against Metizport. This market will resolve to "Metizport" if Metizport win the match against ARCRED. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets resolve based on series winner (binary: ARCRED or Metizport wins EPL S6), while Polymarket markets require specific map-level data (rounds, kills, individual map winners) that may never materialize if the series concludes before all maps are played. This creates a fundamental logical incompatibility: Polymarket map-specific markets can resolve 50-50 due to series clinch, while Kalshi's binary outcome always resolves to one team.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you get a clean binary outcome (ARCRED or Metizport wins the series). On Polymarket, your map-specific bets (Map 1-5 rounds/kills, individual map winners) face high 50-50 risk if the series ends before that map is played—for example, if ARCRED wins 3-0, Maps 4 and 5 never happen and all those markets resolve 50-50. Avoid Polymarket map markets unless you believe the series will go to at least that map.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Two markets both resolve YES if either team wins EPL S6 2026 (logically impossible—only one can win). This appears to be a platform error or miscommunication in the source data. Assuming the intent is one YES for the series winner, Kalshi resolves to a single binary outcome: ARCRED wins or Metizport wins the BO5 series.Polymarket:
Markets are granular and map-dependent. Map winner markets (Map 1-5) resolve based on individual map outcomes. Odd/Even rounds and kills markets depend on specific map statistics. Critically, if a map is not played because the series is already decided (e.g., team clinches 3-1 before Map 5), that market resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If Map X is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map X is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
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