TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs ReThink (BO3) - Journey Group D
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs ReThink (BO3) - Journey Group D

Volume:
$52,347

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 26, 2026

Closed: Mar 26, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ReThink

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,847
N/A
N/A
$13,276
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alliance

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,316
N/A
N/A
$4,610
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs ReThink (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Alliance and ReThink in the Journey Group D, initially scheduled for March 26 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against ReThink. This market will resolve to "ReThink" if ReThink win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins (making the market always YES), while Polymarket resolves to the specific match winner (Alliance or ReThink). This logical contradiction makes Kalshi's market unresolvable as stated.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it contains a logical error that guarantees YES resolution regardless of outcome. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and use standard match-outcome logic. Trade only on Polymarket for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution rule states 'If ReThink wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alliance wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where every possible outcome (either team winning) results in YES. This makes the market unresolvable and uninterpretable.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves to the specific match winner—'Alliance' if Alliance wins, 'ReThink' if ReThink wins—with clear tie-breaking rules for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, and forfeits (all resolve 50-50). Polymarket also offers granular markets for individual map winners, map statistics (odd/even rounds and kills), series length (O/U 2.5), and map handicap, each with consistent logic tied to match completion and HLTV.org as primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.