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404,028

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Counter-Strike: aimclub vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs

Volume:
$81,721

HyperSpirit

 - Kalshi

HyperSpirit - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 16, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

HyperSpirit

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,003
N/A
N/A
$2,256
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

aimclub

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,573
N/A
N/A
$1,355
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: HS (-1.5) vs aimclub (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: AIMC (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-3 match between aimclub and HyperSpirit in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs Upper bracket, scheduled for March 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, series length, map handicaps, and granular kill/round parity across maps.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match-winner market contains a logical contradiction: both aimclub winning and HyperSpirit winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent, binary resolution logic with comprehensive edge-case definitions.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match-winner market. All Polymarket markets (match winner, map winners, series length, handicaps, kill/round parity) are resolvable and internally consistent. Prioritize Polymarket for settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match-winner market states: 'If aimclub wins... resolve to Yes' AND 'If HyperSpirit wins... resolve to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot resolve to the same result. The market is unresolvable as written. No edge-case handling provided.
  • Polymarket: 12 coherent markets with clear binary or categorical outcomes. Match winner resolves to aimclub or HyperSpirit. Map winners, handicaps, and parity markets have explicit rules: cancellation/no-play = 50-50; delays beyond 7 days without play = 50-50; incomplete matches with forfeit/disqualification/walkover = 50-50 (except if one team clinches before series end, then that team wins). Primary source: HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus. Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.