TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
$
$20
$50
$100
$500
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between AaB Esport and Sangal ALTERS in the European Pro League Regular Group A, initially scheduled for April 21 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "AaB Esport" if AaB Esport win the match against Sangal ALTERS. This market will resolve to "Sangal ALTERS" if Sangal ALTERS win the match against AaB Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect decentralized trader consensus and typically differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to distinct liquidity pools, fee structures, and participant bases. Sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and margin targets, while prediction markets aggregate distributed bets from many participants. For this Counter-Strike matchup, comparing Polymarket prices to major esports sportsbooks can reveal whether the market is pricing AaB Esport or Sangal ALTERS more favorably than conventional bookmakers, helping identify potential value.
On Polymarket, this Counter-Strike BO3 is priced through an automated market maker model where contract prices reflect the probability traders assign to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently shows implied probability, with $40,922 in cumulative volume. Prices update continuously as traders buy and sell shares, and the spread between bid and ask reflects market depth and liquidity at any given moment.
The market is scheduled to resolve on Apr 21, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the best-of-three match between AaB Esport and Sangal ALTERS in the European Pro League Regular Group A. The outcome of each individual map and the overall series winner will be confirmed through the league's official records and broadcast, after which the prediction market will settle accordingly.
Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced by either team, recent map performance trends, head-to-head historical records, and any injuries or roster instability. In-game events during the match itself—such as early map wins, momentum shifts, or tactical adjustments—will drive rapid price movements. Pre-match analysis from esports commentators and community sentiment shifts can also influence trader positioning. Live updates and map results will be the primary drivers of odds changes as the BO3 unfolds.
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