TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 9INE and HyperSpirit in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "9INE" if 9INE win the match against HyperSpirit. This market will resolve to "HyperSpirit" if HyperSpirit win the match against 9INE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines a comprehensive 10-market suite with detailed edge-case handling (forfeits, walkovers, delays, map-level outcomes), while Kalshi defines a single binary market with minimal specification. The underlying match outcome logic is aligned, but scope and granularity differ significantly.Hero Tip:
For Polymarket positions: track match completion status, map count, and individual map results against HLTV within 2 hours of conclusion. For Kalshi: confirm whether forfeits/walkovers trigger a Yes resolution or 50-50 by contacting support, as the market language does not explicitly address these scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
10 distinct markets covering match winner, games total (O/U 2.5), map handicap (-1.5/+1.5), individual map winners (Maps 1-2), and statistical outcomes (odd/even kills and rounds for Maps 1-3). Explicit 7-day delay threshold; forfeits/walkovers/disqualifications resolve to 50-50 unless match begins and one team clinches via opponent default. Clinching map forfeits count as completed matches. Primary source: HLTV within 2 hours, fallback to credible consensus.Kalshi:
Single binary market: Yes if HyperSpirit wins OR if 9INE wins (logically always Yes). No specification of edge cases, delay thresholds, forfeit handling, or map-level outcomes. No explicit primary source or fallback mechanism stated.
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