TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Best-of-3 match between 3DMAX and Team Falcons in the IEM Rio Group A Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4, originally scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 10:00–11:30 AM ET. Markets span series outcome, individual map winners, total maps played, map handicap, and odd/even statistics for kills and rounds across Maps 1–3.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different event scopes and resolution triggers. Kalshi focuses on a single binary outcome (over/under 2.5 maps), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets (match winner, map winners, map statistics, handicaps) that may resolve independently or to 50-50 based on different completion criteria.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi's over/under 2.5 maps market, your resolution depends solely on total maps played. On Polymarket, individual map markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, etc.) may resolve 50-50 even if the series completes, because those specific maps might not be played if the series is clinched early. Verify which markets you hold and their specific play-completion requirements before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market on total maps played (over/under 2.5). It resolves YES if 3 or more maps are played, NO if fewer than 3 maps are played. Cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days without completion triggers no resolution rule specified in the provided text, implying standard market suspension or void. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the IEM Rio 2026: Team Falcons vs. 3DMAX CS2 match originally scheduled for Apr 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 9 separate markets (match winner, map winners, map-level statistics, handicaps) with granular resolution rules. Each market has independent completion criteria: match-level markets resolve 50-50 if canceled or delayed beyond 7 days; map-specific markets resolve 50-50 if that map is never played (e.g., series clinched before Map 2 or Map 3). Forfeits/walkovers at match level resolve 50-50, but if a team wins by opponent forfeiture mid-series, the match resolves to the winning team. Key quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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