TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between Como 1907 and FC Internazionale Milano.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (draw, Inter win, Como win) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi offers a single market that resolves YES for ANY outcome (Como win, Inter win, or draw). This creates a fundamental logical contradiction: Kalshi's market cannot fail to resolve YES under normal circumstances, making it unresolvable as a prediction market.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market. It is logically broken—it resolves YES regardless of match outcome (win, loss, or draw all trigger YES). Polymarket's three separate binary markets are the only coherent way to express the three mutually exclusive outcomes. If you hold Kalshi, expect either a market cancellation or forced resolution to YES.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets covering all three mutually exclusive outcomes—draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), Inter win (YES if Inter wins, NO otherwise), and Como win (YES if Como wins, NO otherwise). Exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (draw market); 'If FC Internazionale Milano wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Inter market); 'If Como 1907 wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Como market).Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single market with three resolution conditions, all triggering YES: 'If Como wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Inter wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This market cannot resolve NO under any normal match outcome, making it logically incoherent as a prediction market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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