TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Colgate Raiders and Bucknell Bison scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET at Bucknell. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory: it specifies that both a Colgate win and a Bucknell win resolve to Yes, leaving no path to a No resolution. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's logic is sound and binary.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The logical contradiction makes it impossible to determine a valid resolution outcome. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version and should be treated as the authoritative source.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both possible game outcomes (Colgate win and Bucknell win) are mapped to Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Colgate wins... resolves to Yes. If Bucknell wins... resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Proper binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes: Colgate Raiders win resolves to Colgate Raiders, Bucknell Bison win resolves to Bucknell Bison. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Quote: 'If the Colgate Raiders win, the market will resolve to Colgate Raiders. If the Bucknell Bison win, the market will resolve to Bucknell Bison.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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