TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Clube do Remo and SC Internacional scheduled for February 25, 2026. Markets across platforms assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Remo win, an Internacional win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three mutually exclusive outcomes are programmed to resolve Yes, creating an impossible settlement state. Polymarket uses standard binary logic but applies different cancellation rules to different market types.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group—they contain a fundamental logical error that will cause settlement failure. Polymarket markets are tradeable but require careful attention to cancellation scenarios: the Draw market resolves Yes if cancelled, while Win markets resolve No.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market structure defect: all three outcome markets (Tie, Internacional win, Remo win) are programmed to resolve Yes. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Internacional wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Remo wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This violates basic probability logic where only one outcome can occur.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with standard logic: Draw market resolves Yes if draw occurs or game cancelled; Remo Win market resolves Yes only if Remo wins (No if cancelled); Internacional Win market resolves Yes only if Internacional wins (No if cancelled). Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (Win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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