TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX soccer match between Club Tijuana and Pumas de la UNAM scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: moneyline (win/loss/draw) on Polymarket and goal-differential outcomes (>1.5 and >2.5 goal margins) on Kalshi. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi cover fundamentally different outcome types (moneyline vs. goal-differential thresholds) and Polymarket's draw market contains an internal logical inconsistency regarding cancellation resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not treat Polymarket and Kalshi markets as direct hedges. Polymarket moneyline markets (win/draw/loss) and Kalshi goal-differential markets (>1.5, >2.5) resolve to different outcome spaces. Verify with Polymarket whether the draw market's cancellation clause (resolves Yes) is intentional or an error, as it conflicts with the win markets' cancellation logic (resolves No).Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three moneyline markets: Tijuana Win (Yes if Tijuana wins in 90+stoppage), Draw (Yes if match ends level), Pumas Win (Yes if Pumas wins in 90+stoppage). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves win markets to No but draw market to Yes. Key quote: draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No'.Kalshi:
Four goal-differential threshold markets: Tijuana >2.5 goals, Tijuana >1.5 goals, Pumas >2.5 goals, Pumas >1.5 goals. Each resolves Yes if the specified team wins by the stated margin within 90+stoppage. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. These markets do not cover draws or 1-goal margins.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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