TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM
polymarket
kalshi

Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM

Volume:
$200,896

Draw (Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 10:06 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pumas de la UNAM

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Tijuana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pumas UNAM wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,368
N/A
N/A
$4,281
Settled
No
kalshi

Pumas UNAM wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,994
N/A
N/A
$2,898
Settled
No
kalshi

Tijuana de Caliente wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$940
N/A
N/A
$913
Settled
No
kalshi

Tijuana de Caliente wins by over 2.5 goals

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the Liga MX soccer match between Club Tijuana and Pumas de la UNAM scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: moneyline (win/loss/draw) on Polymarket and goal-differential outcomes (>1.5 and >2.5 goal margins) on Kalshi. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi cover fundamentally different outcome types (moneyline vs. goal-differential thresholds) and Polymarket's draw market contains an internal logical inconsistency regarding cancellation resolution.Hero tip: Do not treat Polymarket and Kalshi markets as direct hedges. Polymarket moneyline markets (win/draw/loss) and Kalshi goal-differential markets (>1.5, >2.5) resolve to different outcome spaces. Verify with Polymarket whether the draw market's cancellation clause (resolves Yes) is intentional or an error, as it conflicts with the win markets' cancellation logic (resolves No).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three moneyline markets: Tijuana Win (Yes if Tijuana wins in 90+stoppage), Draw (Yes if match ends level), Pumas Win (Yes if Pumas wins in 90+stoppage). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves win markets to No but draw market to Yes. Key quote: draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets state 'this market will resolve No'.
  • Kalshi: Four goal-differential threshold markets: Tijuana >2.5 goals, Tijuana >1.5 goals, Pumas >2.5 goals, Pumas >1.5 goals. Each resolves Yes if the specified team wins by the stated margin within 90+stoppage. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. These markets do not cover draws or 1-goal margins.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.