TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This event group comprises eight markets covering Club Necaxa vs. Mazatlán FC (Liga MX, April 3, 2026, 11:00 PM ET): four spread markets (-1.5, -2.5 for each team), four total goals markets (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and one both-teams-to-score market. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with consistent postponement and cancellation protocols across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures and thresholds. Polymarket offers spread markets with explicit YES/NO outcomes tied to goal differentials, while Kalshi uses conditional YES/NO logic for individual spread scenarios without explicit market pairing.Hero Tip:
If you trade these markets across platforms, note that Polymarket's spread markets are mutually exclusive (e.g., Necaxa -1.5 vs Mazatlán -1.5 cannot both resolve YES), whereas Kalshi's conditional markets can each independently resolve YES or NO based on the final margin. Verify your position logic before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Aligned with Kalshi on underlying event (Liga MX match on Apr 3, 90 minutes plus stoppage time, official ligamx.net source): Polymarket structures markets as explicit spread and total outcomes where each market has a single YES or NO resolution. For example, 'Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)' resolves YES if Necaxa wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO. Markets are mutually exclusive within their category (e.g., both Necaxa -1.5 and Mazatlán -1.5 cannot both be YES).Kalshi:
Aligned with Polymarket on underlying event (Liga MX match on Apr 3, 90 minutes plus stoppage time): Kalshi structures markets as independent conditional propositions. Each market is a standalone YES/NO question: 'If Necaxa wins by more than 2.5 goals, then YES' and 'If Mazatlán wins by more than 2.5 goals, then YES' are presented as separate markets that can each independently resolve YES or NO based on the final result, rather than as mutually exclusive outcomes.
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