TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Clemson Tigers and Syracuse Orange scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary resolution model where both possible game outcomes (Syracuse win or Clemson win) resolve to Yes, while Polymarket uses a categorical moneyline model where each team outcome resolves to that team's name. This creates incompatible settlement structures for the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Kalshi's binary structure means there is no No outcome—the market always resolves Yes. Polymarket's categorical structure means you are betting on a specific team. Verify your platform's payout rules and ensure you understand whether you are trading a binary contract or a moneyline contract before entering a position.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No market where both Syracuse win and Clemson win resolve to Yes. No losing outcome exists. Key quote: 'If Syracuse wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Categorical moneyline market resolving to either 'Clemson Tigers' or 'Syracuse Orange' based on game winner. Key quote: 'If the Clemson Tigers win, the market will resolve to Clemson Tigers. If the Syracuse Orange win, the market will resolve to Syracuse Orange.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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