TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Liaoning Tieren FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (tie, Chongqing win, Liaoning win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi markets for this event until the specification is corrected. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and can be settled reliably based on the official CSL match result.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three markets all resolve to Yes regardless of outcome. This violates basic market logic. Quote: All three conditions (Tie, Chongqing win, Liaoning win) state 'then the market resolves to Yes' with no No condition specified.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market resolves Yes if draw, No otherwise. Liaoning market resolves Yes if Liaoning wins, No otherwise. Chongqing market resolves Yes if Chongqing wins, No otherwise. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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