TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC
kalshi
polymarket

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC

Volume:
$96,720

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 14, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 7:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,666
N/A
N/A
$6,541
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Liaoning Tieren FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,853
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Liaoning Tieren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
$877
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,181
N/A
N/A
$1,098
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Liaoning Tieren FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (tie, Chongqing win, Liaoning win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi markets for this event until the specification is corrected. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and can be settled reliably based on the official CSL match result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three markets all resolve to Yes regardless of outcome. This violates basic market logic. Quote: All three conditions (Tie, Chongqing win, Liaoning win) state 'then the market resolves to Yes' with no No condition specified.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market resolves Yes if draw, No otherwise. Liaoning market resolves Yes if Liaoning wins, No otherwise. Chongqing market resolves Yes if Chongqing wins, No otherwise. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.