TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: May 26, 9:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers an MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners scheduled for May 18–19, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET. Markets span multiple platforms and track both the game winner and subsidiary outcomes (first-inning runs, extra innings). A critical date discrepancy exists between platforms.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect decentralized trader consensus and differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they are set by peer-to-peer wagering rather than oddsmakers managing liability. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and protect margins; prediction markets respond directly to information flow and trader conviction. The Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners market on Polymarket may price the outcome differently than major sportsbooks, offering an alternative view of true probability. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Predict, the Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners contract is priced as a binary outcome reflecting the probability traders assign to the result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new information emerges, trades execute, and the event date approaches. The market uses an order-book model where buyers and sellers post bids and offers; the spread between them indicates liquidity and conviction. As game time nears on May 27, 2026, volatility and trading intensity typically increase, causing prices to converge toward the realized outcome.
The Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners market resolves on May 27, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final result of the game as recorded by the relevant sports authority. Once the game concludes and the outcome is confirmed, the market settles automatically, and traders' positions are closed based on the winning side. Early resolution may occur if the game is cancelled or postponed under specific conditions, though standard play-to-completion scenarios apply to this matchup.
Key catalysts for the Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners market include roster changes, injury reports to star players, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions at game time. Betting line movement from sportsbooks, expert predictions, and social media sentiment can also influence trader positioning. Preseason form, head-to-head historical matchups, and bullpen availability are important factors. Breaking news about player availability or lineup adjustments in the hours before the game often trigger sharp price moves as informed traders react faster than casual participants.
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