TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Chicago State Cougars and Wagner Seahawks scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-4.5 and -5.5), and over/under totals at three different lines (134.5, 135.5, and 136.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Chicago St. win and Wagner win resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline entirely—it is unsettleable as written. Trade only Polymarket markets for this matchup. Escalate the Kalshi market to support for clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name (Chicago State Cougars or Wagner Seahawks). Spreads resolve Yes if Wagner wins by margin threshold (6+ for -5.5, 5+ for -4.5), otherwise No. Totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds line (137 for 136.5, 136 for 135.5, 135 for 134.5), otherwise Under. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'Kalshi:
Moneyline states: 'If Chicago St. wins...resolve to Yes' AND 'If Wagner wins...resolve to Yes'. Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No differentiation mechanism exists. Key quote: 'If Chicago St. wins the Chicago St. at Wagner men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wagner wins the Chicago St. at Wagner men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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