TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Charlton Athletic FC and Bristol City FC are scheduled to play an EFL Championship match on April 3, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Charlton Athletic win, a Bristol City win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Charlton win, Bristol City win, draw), where exactly one resolves YES. Kalshi defines three independent markets that each resolve YES based on their respective outcome, creating logical impossibility: all three Kalshi markets cannot simultaneously resolve YES for the same match.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-trade between Polymarket and Kalshi on this event. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. On Kalshi, the market structure implies all three outcomes are independent, but a single match can only have one result. This creates irreconcilable settlement logic—clarify with Kalshi whether their three markets are mutually exclusive or if the platform intends a different resolution mechanism.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Charlton win, Bristol City win, or draw) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market explicitly states 'Otherwise, this market will resolve to No,' enforcing exclusivity. Resolution source is official EFL statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi presents three independent markets, each with a standalone YES resolution condition: 'If Charlton wins...then resolves to Yes,' 'If Bristol City wins...then resolves to Yes,' and 'If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes.' This structure logically permits all three to resolve YES simultaneously, which is impossible for a single match outcome. No explicit mutual exclusivity or NO resolution condition is stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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