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404,744

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2,691

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5

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Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls
polymarket
kalshi

Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls

Volume:
$316,882

Charlotte

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Charlotte

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64,351
N/A
N/A
$38,339
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Charlotte FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New York

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,752
N/A
N/A
$43,304
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,010
N/A
N/A
$10,586
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Charlotte FC and New York Red Bulls.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Charlotte win, draw, New York win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three separate markets that each independently resolve YES if their specific outcome occurs. This creates a logical contradiction: under Kalshi's structure, multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously for the same match, whereas Polymarket's structure guarantees only one YES resolution.Hero tip: If you trade these markets across both platforms, understand that a single match result will trigger different resolution patterns: Polymarket will have exactly one YES market, but Kalshi may have one or more YES markets depending on the outcome. This means arbitrage opportunities or hedging strategies may not work as expected across platforms. Verify your position structure before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures this as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Charlotte win, draw, or New York win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. The rules explicitly state 'If Charlotte FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' for the Charlotte market, with identical exclusive logic for the draw and New York markets. This guarantees only one YES resolution across the three markets.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi defines three independent markets, each resolving YES if its specific outcome occurs: 'If Charlotte wins...then the market resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes', and 'If New York wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. This structure allows exactly one market to resolve YES (since only one outcome can occur), but the logical framework treats each market as independently evaluable rather than explicitly mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.