Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 18, 2026, with the same primary resolution source (official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga MX statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting.
Core resolution logic:
The draw market (Polymarket) resolves YES if and only if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The Cruz Azul win market (Polymarket) resolves YES if and only if Cruz Azul wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The Tijuana win market (Polymarket) resolves YES if and only if Tijuana wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The Kalshi market resolves YES for any outcome (Cruz Azul win, Tijuana win, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly one of the three Polymarket markets will resolve YES; the Kalshi market will always resolve YES if the match is completed.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion. If canceled with no make-up, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi market behavior is not specified for cancellation.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open until the match is completed on a rescheduled date.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's resolution behavior under cancellation is not explicitly specified in the provided rules.
Scope: Regular Time Only: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts; resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution Source Fallback: If official Liga MX statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution based on consensus of credible reporting.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the match result by Liga MX or event organizers within 2 hours of match conclusion, or via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.