TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara Liga MX soccer match scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets track whether Cruz Azul wins, Guadalajara wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket applies outcome-specific cancellation logic (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No), while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause. This creates a settlement conflict if the match is canceled without a makeup date.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Liga MX sources (ligamx.net) for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation is confirmed, do not settle until PredictionHero clarifies which platform's rule applies to the entire group. The draw market on Polymarket is the primary risk point.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets: Cruz Azul win (Yes if Cruz Azul wins, No otherwise; No on cancellation), Guadalajara win (Yes if Guadalajara wins, No otherwise; No on cancellation), Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise; Yes on cancellation). Evaluation window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Source: ligamx.net.Kalshi:
Three binary outcomes bundled: Guadalajara win resolves Yes, Cruz Azul win resolves Yes, Tie resolves Yes. All evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause stated; standard market assumption (no play = void or no resolution).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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