TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga MX soccer match between CF América and FC Juárez scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (América win, Juárez win, or draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon game cancellation with no make-up, while Polymarket's win markets and Kalshi resolve NO or remain silent on cancellation. This creates a logical inconsistency in how the three mutually exclusive outcomes are treated under cancellation.Hero Tip:
If you are long the draw market on Polymarket, a game cancellation is a winning scenario. If you are long either win market on Polymarket, a cancellation is a loss. Kalshi markets do not specify cancellation handling, creating additional ambiguity. Monitor Liga MX official sources and platform announcements closely as the match date approaches.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket (Draw Market):
Resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'Polymarket (Win Markets):
Resolves NO if game is canceled with no make-up. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
No explicit cancellation clause provided. All three markets (tie, Juárez win, América win) state they resolve YES if their condition is met, but do not address cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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