TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CF América vs. FC Juárez
kalshi
polymarket

CF América vs. FC Juárez

Volume:
$515,127

Juarez

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Juarez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83,598
N/A
N/A
$56,538
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Juárez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

America

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370,245
N/A
N/A
$316,884
Settled
No
polymarket

CF América

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,913
N/A
N/A
$31,633
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CF América vs. FC Juárez)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Liga MX soccer match between CF América and FC Juárez scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (América win, Juárez win, or draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon game cancellation with no make-up, while Polymarket's win markets and Kalshi resolve NO or remain silent on cancellation. This creates a logical inconsistency in how the three mutually exclusive outcomes are treated under cancellation.Hero tip: If you are long the draw market on Polymarket, a game cancellation is a winning scenario. If you are long either win market on Polymarket, a cancellation is a loss. Kalshi markets do not specify cancellation handling, creating additional ambiguity. Monitor Liga MX official sources and platform announcements closely as the match date approaches.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket (Draw Market): Resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
  • Polymarket (Win Markets): Resolves NO if game is canceled with no make-up. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: No explicit cancellation clause provided. All three markets (tie, Juárez win, América win) state they resolve YES if their condition is met, but do not address cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.