TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Central Michigan Chippewas and Toledo Rockets scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Toledo win and Central Michigan win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract and creating ambiguity about the actual settlement condition.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the market terms are clarified. The Polymarket version is logically sound: it is a true winner-take-all binary with clear handling of edge cases (postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50). Trade Polymarket with confidence on the core outcome; Kalshi requires platform intervention.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Winner-take-all binary structure. Resolves to Central Michigan Chippewas if CMU wins, Toledo Rockets if Toledo wins. Postponement: market remains open. Cancellation with no makeup: 50-50 split. Resolution includes overtime. This is a standard, resolvable binary market.Kalshi:
Logically malformed binary. Both win conditions (Toledo wins OR Central Michigan wins) resolve to Yes. No explicit No condition or tie-breaker is defined. This creates an impossible resolution scenario where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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