TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Central Coast Mariners FC will face Brisbane Roar FC on April 10, 2026, in an A-League match. The outcome will be determined by the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three mutually exclusive possibilities: a Brisbane Roar victory, a Central Coast Mariners victory, or a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent and unresolvable. Kalshi requires the market to resolve YES for every possible outcome (Central Coast win, Brisbane win, or tie), which violates fundamental binary market logic. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (one for each outcome: Central Coast win, Brisbane win, or draw), each resolving YES or NO based on the actual result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical error: all three outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES. Polymarket's three-market structure is the only coherent approach — trade there instead. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or withdrawal before settlement, as the market cannot be resolved without contradiction.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's three rules each state 'the market resolves to Yes' for Central Coast win, Brisbane win, and tie respectively. This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome triggers YES, making the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Central Coast wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Brisbane wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with sound market design principles: Polymarket correctly deploys three separate binary markets, each with mutually exclusive YES/NO outcomes. Market 1 (draw): YES if draw, NO otherwise. Market 2 (Central Coast win): YES if Central Coast wins, NO otherwise. Market 3 (Brisbane win): YES if Brisbane wins, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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