TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA matchup between the Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks scheduled for April 3 at 8:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) resolve YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot simultaneously occur. Polymarket's markets (items 3-87) use standard binary or outcome-specific resolution logic. This makes Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) — they are logically broken. All other markets on both platforms use consistent, resolvable logic: Polymarket's winner/spread/total/player prop markets resolve based on final NBA box scores and official NBA.com data. If you trade on Polymarket, outcomes are clear and enforceable.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'If Boston wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Milwaukee wins... resolves to Yes', which is logically impossible. No other platform in this group exhibits this contradiction. Quote: 'If Boston wins the Boston at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Milwaukee wins the Boston at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard resolution logic: All markets (items 3-87) use mutually exclusive outcomes tied to official NBA box scores. Moneyline resolves to either 'Celtics' or 'Bucks' (item 3), spreads resolve to one team based on point differential (items 4, 10, 84), totals resolve to 'Over' or 'Under' based on combined score (items 6, 8, 12), and player props resolve to 'Yes' or 'No' based on individual statistics. Quote: 'If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to Celtics. If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to Bucks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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