TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Scottish Premiership match between Celtic FC and Motherwell FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Celtic win, Motherwell win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Draw market cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves the draw market YES if the game is canceled with no makeup; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause for its draw outcome, creating ambiguity in edge-case settlement.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation announcements. If Celtic vs Motherwell is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES, but Kalshi's draw outcome logic is undefined. Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol with their support team before the event date to avoid settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Celtic win, Motherwell win, draw). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve NO if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) vs 'No' (win markets).Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets (Celtic wins, Motherwell wins, Tie). Each resolves YES only if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard sports betting practice would treat cancellation as void or unresolved, not as a YES for any outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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