TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Czech Extraliga ice hockey match between HC Dynamo Pardubice and HC Energie Karlovy Vary scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both aim to resolve based on the final game outcome, but differ fundamentally in their resolution logic and scope.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory - both a Karlovy Vary win and a Pardubice win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear, unambiguous resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's market is tradeable and follows standard sports betting logic. Kalshi's market should be flagged as unresolvable due to logical contradiction in its resolution rules. Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution statement to specify distinct outcomes for each team.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market resolving to team name. Resolves to Dynamo Pardubice if they win, Karlovy Vary if they win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Source: hokej.cz/tipsport-extraliga.Kalshi:
Contradictory resolution logic: states both 'If HC Energie Karlovy Vary wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If HC Pardubice wins...resolves to Yes'. Both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution state, making the market logically unresolvable as a binary Yes/No contract.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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