TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CD Ñublense vs. O'Higgins FC
polymarket
kalshi

CD Ñublense vs. O'Higgins FC

Volume:
$29,661

O´Higgins

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 25, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

O´Higgins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,326
N/A
N/A
$13,273
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O'Higgins FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nublense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,063
N/A
N/A
$2,723
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Ñublense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,790
N/A
N/A
$1,790
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CD Ñublense vs. O'Higgins FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Chile Primera game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between CD Ñublense and O'Higgins FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Nublense win, draw, O'Higgins win) are listed as separate YES-resolution conditions in a single market, making it impossible for the market to resolve to NO. This violates fundamental binary market logic and creates an unresolvable contradiction with Polymarket's three separate binary markets.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market as presented. The market structure is broken—it cannot resolve to NO under any circumstance since every possible match outcome triggers a YES resolution. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Nublense win, draw, O'Higgins win) are the only logically sound approach. If forced to settle Kalshi, clarify with the platform whether this is a data error or if the market is actually a guaranteed YES regardless of result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Nublense win resolves YES only if Nublense wins; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw; (3) O'Higgins win resolves YES only if O'Higgins wins. Exactly one market resolves YES. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with postponement rules (market stays open) and cancellation rules (non-draw markets resolve NO, draw market resolves YES). Primary source is ANFP official statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three conditions all mapped to YES resolution: 'If Nublense wins...then YES. If Tie wins...then YES. If O'Higgins wins...then YES.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market has no NO resolution path. No cancellation, postponement, or fallback source rules are specified. Quote: 'If Nublense wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If O'Higgins wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.