TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Chile Primera game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between CD Ñublense and O'Higgins FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Nublense win, draw, O'Higgins win) are listed as separate YES-resolution conditions in a single market, making it impossible for the market to resolve to NO. This violates fundamental binary market logic and creates an unresolvable contradiction with Polymarket's three separate binary markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as presented. The market structure is broken—it cannot resolve to NO under any circumstance since every possible match outcome triggers a YES resolution. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Nublense win, draw, O'Higgins win) are the only logically sound approach. If forced to settle Kalshi, clarify with the platform whether this is a data error or if the market is actually a guaranteed YES regardless of result.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: (1) Nublense win resolves YES only if Nublense wins; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw; (3) O'Higgins win resolves YES only if O'Higgins wins. Exactly one market resolves YES. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with postponement rules (market stays open) and cancellation rules (non-draw markets resolve NO, draw market resolves YES). Primary source is ANFP official statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.Kalshi:
Single market with three conditions all mapped to YES resolution: 'If Nublense wins...then YES. If Tie wins...then YES. If O'Higgins wins...then YES.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market has no NO resolution path. No cancellation, postponement, or fallback source rules are specified. Quote: 'If Nublense wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If O'Higgins wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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