TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Colombian professional soccer match between Cúcuta Deportivo FC and CD Tolima scheduled for February 23, 2026, in the Liga DIMAYOR. Markets track the three possible outcomes: a Cúcuta win, a Tolima win, or a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how a canceled game (with no make-up) resolves. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, leaving settlement ambiguous.Hero Tip:
Traders holding draw positions on Polymarket benefit if the game is canceled; traders holding win positions lose. Kalshi's cancellation behavior is undefined. Before the match date, confirm with Kalshi whether a canceled game triggers automatic resolution or remains open. Consider this tail risk when sizing positions.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets covering Cúcuta win, draw, and Tolima win. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves draw to YES and both win markets to NO. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Source: dimayor.com.co.Kalshi:
Three outcome-specific markets (Tolima wins, Cucuta wins, Tie). Each resolves YES if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit clause for postponement or cancellation; resolution logic assumes the game will be played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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