TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Carrarese Calcio and US Catanzaro 1929 scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary outcomes for each team's win and a draw outcome, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's Draw market contains a logical contradiction in its cancellation rule (resolves Yes if canceled) that conflicts with the Win markets (resolve No if canceled), making it impossible for all three mutually exclusive outcomes to be consistently resolved. Kalshi's three-way market lacks explicit cancellation guidance.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across Polymarket and Kalshi simultaneously on this match without explicit platform confirmation of cancellation protocols. The Polymarket Draw market's Yes-on-cancellation rule is logically inconsistent with standard sports betting practice and creates unhedgeable risk. Request clarification from Polymarket on whether this is intentional or a documentation error before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers three separate binary markets. Carrarese Win and Catanzaro Win markets resolve No on cancellation with no makeup game. Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation with no makeup game. This creates a logical impossibility: if the game is canceled, all three mutually exclusive outcomes cannot simultaneously be true. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' while Win markets state 'this market will resolve "No"'.Kalshi:
Offers a single three-way market covering Carrarese Win, Tie, and Catanzaro Win outcomes. No explicit cancellation rule is provided in the source data. The market structure implies only one outcome can resolve Yes, but the handling of postponement or cancellation is not documented. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Carrarese vs Catanzaro professional Serie B soccer game...then the market resolves to Yes' (no cancellation clause provided).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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