TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Carrarese Calcio and UC Sampdoria scheduled for March 18, 2026. Three markets track the possible outcomes: Carrarese win, draw, or Sampdoria win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes a cancellation-to-Yes resolution clause that Kalshi's omnibus market does not explicitly address. This creates a logical asymmetry where the same real-world event (game cancellation) could resolve differently across platforms.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation risk. If the match is canceled without makeup, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes while Kalshi's draw equivalent would likely resolve No. This is a tradeable divergence if cancellation probability is non-trivial.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets. Draw market resolves Yes if: (1) game ends in a draw after 90 min + stoppage, OR (2) game is canceled entirely with no makeup. Win markets resolve No on cancellation. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'Kalshi:
Single omnibus market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Carrarese win, Tie, Sampdoria win). Each resolves to Yes only if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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