This event group covers a best-of-five Call of Duty League match between Miami Heretics and Los Angeles Thieves scheduled for March 8, 2026, at 4:00 PM ET as part of the Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers. Markets span match winner, individual game winners (Games 1-4), game totals (O/U 3.5 and O/U 4.5), and handicap spreads (-1.5 and -2.5).
Polymarket defines eight detailed markets with explicit edge-case handling and a primary Liquipedia source with 2-hour fallback. Kalshi defines only a binary match-winner market with no source specification or edge-case rules.
Hero Tip:
Polymarket traders should track Liquipedia updates and note any delays beyond March 15, 2026 (7 days from March 8) or incomplete games, which trigger 50-50 resolution. Kalshi offers no granularity or source transparency; treat it as a simple binary with undefined tiebreaker logic. If the match is canceled or heavily delayed, Polymarket will resolve 50-50 on all markets, but Kalshi's resolution path is unclear.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Eight markets covering match winner, individual game winners (Games 1-4), game totals (O/U 3.5 and O/U 4.5), and handicap spreads (-1.5 and -2.5). Explicit rules: incomplete games resolve 50-50, cancellations or 7-day delays without play resolve 50-50, forfeits/walkovers on clinching game count as completed match. Primary source: Liquipedia within 2 hours; fallback to credible consensus with video evidence. Key quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Kalshi:
Single binary market: 'If Miami Heretics wins... then Yes. If Los Angeles Thieves wins... then Yes.' No edge-case specification, no source citation, no handling of cancellations, delays, or incomplete play. Implicitly assumes match will be completed and one team will win, but provides no fallback logic.
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