TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Miami Heretics and Boston Breach in the Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, initially scheduled for March 22 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Miami Heretics" if Miami Heretics win the match against Boston Breach. This market will resolve to "Boston Breach" if Boston Breach win the match against Miami Heretics. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ in market scope and resolution structure. Polymarket offers granular individual game outcomes and series-level markets with detailed contingency rules, while Kalshi provides only a binary match-winner market with minimal specification.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you have access to game-by-game and handicap markets with explicit forfeit/walkover handling. On Kalshi, you are betting only on match winner with no granularity. Ensure your position matches your intended exposure: Polymarket for tactical bets on series length or individual games, Kalshi for simple match outcome only.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers seven distinct markets covering match winner, individual game winners (Games 1-4), series length (O/U 3.5 and O/U 4.5), and handicaps (MH -1.5 and -2.5). Each market includes detailed resolution rules specifying forfeit/walkover/disqualification outcomes, a 7-day delay threshold, and a 2-hour Liquipedia publication window before consensus reporting is used. For example, the match winner market states: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.' Individual game markets resolve 50-50 if not completed, and handicap markets count forfeits toward the game differential.Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market ('If Miami Heretics wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Boston Breach wins...then the market resolves to Yes.') with no specification of resolution source, contingency rules, timing thresholds, or handling of forfeits, walkovers, or incomplete matches. The market structure is ambiguous: both outcomes resolve to 'Yes,' which is logically contradictory and suggests incomplete market documentation.
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