TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles (W)
polymarket
kalshi

California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles (W)

Volume:
$190,529

California

 - Kalshi

California - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

California at Florida St. Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

California

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84,603
0%
0%
$46,288
N/A
polymarket

California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,258
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Florida St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,668
0%
0%
$61,387
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the California Golden Bears and Florida State Seminoles scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the game based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Florida St. wins OR California wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making winner determination impossible. Polymarket uses standard binary winner resolution.Hero tip: Kalshi's market as documented is unresolvable because it guarantees Yes resolution regardless of which team wins. This appears to be a documentation error or scope mismatch. Before trading Kalshi, confirm whether the market is actually tracking game completion (not winner) or if terms will be corrected. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and tradeable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. California Golden Bears win resolves to California Golden Bears. Florida State Seminoles win resolves to Florida State Seminoles. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Market states: If Florida St. wins, resolves to Yes. If California wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical tautology where both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish the winner or settle the market based on game result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.