TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the California Golden Bears and Florida State Seminoles scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the game based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Florida St. wins OR California wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making winner determination impossible. Polymarket uses standard binary winner resolution.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market as documented is unresolvable because it guarantees Yes resolution regardless of which team wins. This appears to be a documentation error or scope mismatch. Before trading Kalshi, confirm whether the market is actually tracking game completion (not winner) or if terms will be corrected. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and tradeable.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all market. California Golden Bears win resolves to California Golden Bears. Florida State Seminoles win resolves to Florida State Seminoles. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Market states: If Florida St. wins, resolves to Yes. If California wins, resolves to Yes. This creates a logical tautology where both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish the winner or settle the market based on game result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.