This event group covers a women's college basketball game between California Baptist Lancers and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The markets track the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both a UT Arlington win and a California Baptist win resolve to Yes, violating binary event structure. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken and unresolvable. Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes. California Baptist win resolves to 'California Baptist Lancers', UT Arlington win resolves to 'UT Arlington Mavericks'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi:
Fatal logical error: both 'If UT Arlington wins' and 'If California Baptist wins' are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates an impossible state where the same market outcome cannot distinguish between the two teams. Market is unresolvable as specified.
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