TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.7b

24H VOL:

$229,178,007

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,336,753,738

577,196

Markets across

14,485

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,077

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
polymarket
kalshi

California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W)? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$8,511
PredictionHero
California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W) 100%
polymarket
California Baptist 100%
kalshi
UT Arlington 0%
kalshi
Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Feb 26, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between California Baptist Lancers and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The markets track the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both a UT Arlington win and a California Baptist win resolve to Yes, violating binary event structure. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken and unresolvable. Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this event.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket:

    Clean binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes. California Baptist win resolves to 'California Baptist Lancers', UT Arlington win resolves to 'UT Arlington Mavericks'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi:

    Fatal logical error: both 'If UT Arlington wins' and 'If California Baptist wins' are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates an impossible state where the same market outcome cannot distinguish between the two teams. Market is unresolvable as specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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