TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Cal Poly Mustangs and UC Santa Barbara Gauchos scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at UC Santa Barbara. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Cal Poly win and UC Santa Barbara win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution with team names as outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the contradiction is clarified. The statement that both teams winning resolves to Yes is logically impossible in a two-team game. Polymarket's structure is resolvable and standard. Confirm Kalshi's actual terms directly with the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary resolution with logical error. States both Cal Poly win and UC Santa Barbara win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If UC Santa Barbara wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Cal Poly wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates an unresolvable market.Polymarket:
Categorical resolution using team names as outcomes. Cal Poly win resolves to 'Cal Poly Mustangs', UC Santa Barbara win resolves to 'UC Santa Barbara Gauchos'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Quote: 'If the Cal Poly Mustangs win, the market will resolve to "Cal Poly Mustangs". If the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos win, the market will resolve to "UC Santa Barbara Gauchos".' Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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