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Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi

Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli - More Markets

Volume:
$51,351

Napoli wins by over 1.5 goals

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 20, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Napoli wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,974
N/A
N/A
$37,121
Settled
No
polymarket

SSC Napoli (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cagliari wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,378
N/A
N/A
$5,558
Settled
No
polymarket

Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Napoli wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,406
N/A
N/A
$3,124
Settled
No
polymarket

SSC Napoli (-1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cagliari wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$593
Settled
No
polymarket

Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 13

Description

This event group comprises seven interconnected markets covering a Serie A match between Cagliari Calcio and SSC Napoli scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets span spread betting (±1.5 and ±2.5 goal margins), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 thresholds), and both-teams-to-score outcomes. All markets resolve based on the official final score from legaseriea.it within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties counted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures to cover spread outcomes. Polymarket offers separate binary markets for each spread threshold (Napoli -1.5, Napoli -2.5, Cagliari -1.5, Cagliari -2.5), while Kalshi uses four Yes/No markets that each resolve Yes if either team wins by a specified margin, creating fundamentally different settlement logic for the same underlying event.Hero tip: If you trade these markets across platforms, note that Polymarket's spread markets are mutually exclusive (only one resolves YES per outcome), whereas Kalshi's markets can have multiple Yes resolutions from a single final score. For example, a 3-0 Napoli win resolves YES on both Kalshi markets 2 and 3, but on Polymarket only the Napoli -2.5 market resolves YES. Verify your position structure matches the platform's settlement model.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers binary spread markets where each market resolves YES for one team only if they win by a specified margin, and NO otherwise. For Napoli -1.5, 'This market will resolve to SSC Napoli if SSC Napoli win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Cagliari Calcio.' This creates mutually exclusive outcomes across the four spread markets.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi uses four separate Yes/No markets where each resolves Yes if either team wins by the specified margin, allowing multiple markets to resolve Yes from the same match outcome. Market 1 resolves Yes if 'Cagliari wins by more than 1.5 goals' OR 'Napoli wins by more than 1.5 goals'; Market 2 resolves Yes if 'Napoli wins by more than 2.5 goals' OR 'Cagliari wins by more than 2.5 goals.' A single final score can trigger Yes on multiple Kalshi markets simultaneously.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.