TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli Serie A match scheduled for March 20, 2026. Markets across platforms assess whether Cagliari leads, Napoli leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution hinges on the official halftime scoreline only, not the final match result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes (Napoli win, Tie, Cagliari win) are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a tautology that makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Do not settle against Kalshi's market as written. Escalate to Kalshi for clarification on whether the market should be a single ternary outcome or three separate binary markets. Use Polymarket's structure (three independent Yes/No markets) as the reference standard for halftime result resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market conflates three mutually exclusive outcomes into a single Yes resolution. States: 'If Napoli is the winner... then resolves to Yes. If Tie... then resolves to Yes. If Cagliari is the winner... then resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible; every halftime result triggers Yes, making the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic: Market 1 (Cagliari leading at halftime) resolves Yes only if Cagliari leads, No otherwise. Market 2 (Draw at halftime) resolves Yes only if tied, No otherwise. Market 3 (Napoli leading at halftime) resolves Yes only if Napoli leads, No otherwise. Logically coherent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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