TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Monday, April 27, 2026 between CA Vélez Sarsfield and CA Unión.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation outcome divergence: Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes if the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, while Kalshi's tie market also resolves Yes in this scenario. However, Polymarket's win markets (Unión and Vélez) resolve No upon cancellation, whereas Kalshi's market structure treats all three outcomes (Union win, Tie, Velez win) as mutually exclusive and would resolve Yes for whichever outcome is selected—creating ambiguity in how Kalshi handles the cancellation scenario across its three separate markets.Hero Tip:
Monitor the AFA official website (afa.com.ar) for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders should expect draw markets to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. Kalshi traders should clarify with the platform how it handles cancellation across its three mutually exclusive outcome markets, as the current language suggests all three could theoretically resolve Yes, which is logically impossible.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Unión win (Yes/No), Vélez win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). On cancellation with no makeup: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Resolution source: AFA official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) and 'Yes' (draw market).Kalshi:
Single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes: Union Santa Fe wins, Tie, or Velez Sarsfield wins. Resolution language states 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes' for each outcome, but does not explicitly address cancellation. The structure implies only one outcome resolves Yes, yet cancellation logic is absent. Quote: 'If Union Santa Fe wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Velez Sarsfield wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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