TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield
kalshi
polymarket

CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield

Volume:
$237,226

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 11, 2026

Closed: Mar 10, 9:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,575
N/A
N/A
$17,160
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Velez Sarsfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,782
N/A
N/A
$48,150
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Vélez Sarsfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tigre

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,650
N/A
N/A
$32,469
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Tigre

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the March 10, 2026 Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Tigre and CA Vélez Sarsfield. Markets predict whether Tigre will win, Vélez will win, or the match will end in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi employ fundamentally different market structures and cancellation protocols. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation outcomes; Kalshi uses a single unified market where all outcomes resolve identically. Additionally, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation while its win markets resolve NO, creating a logical asymmetry.Hero tip: Traders should recognize that Polymarket's draw market and win markets have opposite cancellation payoffs, making them non-equivalent hedges. Kalshi's unified structure eliminates cancellation risk differentiation. Verify the official AFA fixture schedule and any postponement announcements before March 10, 2026. If cancellation is a material concern, Polymarket's draw market offers asymmetric upside.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets: (1) Tigre win YES/NO, (2) Draw YES/NO, (3) Vélez win YES/NO. Cancellation logic is asymmetric: win markets resolve NO on cancellation; draw market resolves YES on cancellation. All markets remain open if postponed until completion. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single unified market covering all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tigre win, draw, Vélez win). All outcomes resolve YES after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; implicit assumption is that one of the three outcomes will occur. No mention of postponement or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.