TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between CA Paranaense and Coritiba FBC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets collectively cover all possible outcomes (Paranaense win, Coritiba win, or tie) and each resolves YES for its respective outcome, creating logical contradiction where exactly one must resolve YES. Polymarket's three separate markets (Paranaense win, Coritiba win, draw) use mutually exclusive resolution logic where only one can resolve YES, but Kalshi's structure guarantees all three resolve YES simultaneously for any match result, making Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a logical impossibility. Kalshi states all three markets resolve YES if their condition occurs, but only one outcome can happen per match. Polymarket's three markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive alternatives. Trade only Polymarket if you must trade this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate markets where each resolves YES if its specific outcome occurs (Coritiba win, Paranaense win, or tie). The critical flaw is that Kalshi states 'then the market resolves to Yes' for all three conditions independently, meaning if Coritiba wins, all three markets would theoretically resolve YES simultaneously, which is logically impossible. This creates an unresolvable contradiction: 'If Coritiba wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Paranaense wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' cannot all be true for the same match.Polymarket:
Aligned with proper mutual exclusivity: Polymarket defines three distinct markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic. Market 1 resolves YES only if Paranaense wins, NO otherwise. Market 2 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Market 3 resolves YES only if Coritiba wins, NO otherwise. This ensures exactly one market resolves YES per match outcome, with clear cancellation rules (game postponed = market stays open; game canceled = Paranaense and Coritiba markets resolve NO, draw market resolves YES). Polymarket explicitly states 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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